Celta vs Santander prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Celta to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Celta 59% at home, a draw 20% and Santander 21%, so its call is 1: Celta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 24% / 22%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.2 for Celta and 1.2 for Santander; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 66%. Careful: there is little recent data on Santander, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Celta
Attack 9th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Malaga 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Getafe 2026-09-07
- D 0-0 at Sociedad 2026-09-03
- L 0-2 v Ath Bilbao 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 v Osasuna 2026-08-27
Santander
Attack 6th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-7 at Barcelona 2026-09-16
- W 2-1 v Alaves 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 at Vallecano 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Elche 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 at Getafe 2026-08-23
From 820 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 19 Sep
- Osasuna vs Vallecano · FT 1–1
- Ath Bilbao vs Alaves · FT 0–0
- Sevilla vs Barcelona · FT 1–3