Brit Predictor

Nott'm Forest vs Coventry prediction

England Premier League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeNott'm Forest 0–1 CoventryResult 2

Who wins?

Nott'm ForestDrawCoventry
Model 1 ✗
54%28%18%
Market 1 ✗
59%23%17%

Brit Predictor's model rates Nott'm Forest to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Nott'm Forest 54% at home, a draw 28% and Coventry 18%, so its call is 1: Nott'm Forest to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 23% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Nott'm Forest and 0.8 for Coventry; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Coventry, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score47%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Nott'm Forest

Attack 12th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.

WDDLD
  • W 2-1 at Aston Villa 2026-09-12
  • D 0-0 v Tottenham 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 at Liverpool 2026-08-29
  • L 0-1 v Leeds 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 v Bournemouth 2026-05-24

Coventry

Attack 20th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.

LLLL
  • L 0-5 v Brighton 2026-09-13
  • L 0-1 at Man City 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 v Hull 2026-08-29
  • L 0-3 at Arsenal 2026-08-21

From 801 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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