Newcastle vs Hull prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Hull to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Newcastle 35% at home, a draw 30% and Hull 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 21% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Newcastle and 1.3 for Hull; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Hull, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Newcastle
Attack 8th of 20, defence 16th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Leeds 2026-09-14
- D 2-2 v Bournemouth 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 at Tottenham 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Liverpool 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Fulham 2026-05-24
Hull
Attack 13th of 20, defence 3rd of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Chelsea 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Aston Villa 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 at Coventry 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Man United 2026-08-22
From 801 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 19 Sep
- Tottenham vs Aston Villa · FT 2–3
- Brighton vs Arsenal · FT 3–0
- Everton vs Ipswich · FT 1–0
- Nott'm Forest vs Coventry · FT 0–1