Nacional vs Famalicao prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Nacional 28% at home, a draw 30% and Famalicao 43%, so its call is 2: Famalicao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 28% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Nacional and 1.1 for Famalicao; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nacional
Attack 17th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 v Alverca 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sp Lisbon 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 v Estrela 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Guimaraes 2026-08-23
- W 2-0 v Estoril 2026-08-16
Famalicao
Attack 8th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Sp Lisbon 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Santa Clara 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Maritimo 2026-08-16
From 665 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 19 Sep
- Gil Vicente vs Maritimo · FT 1–1
- Alverca vs Rio Ave · FT 1–0
- Sp Lisbon vs Arouca · FT 2–2