Gil Vicente vs Maritimo prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Gil Vicente to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Gil Vicente 56% at home, a draw 24% and Maritimo 20%, so its call is 1: Gil Vicente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 28% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gil Vicente and 0.9 for Maritimo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gil Vicente
Attack 10th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Benfica 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 v Academico Viseu 2026-09-06
- D 0-0 at Famalicao 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-24
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-08-09
Maritimo
Attack 15th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Moreirense 2026-09-14
- L 0-3 v Benfica 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Arouca 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Famalicao 2026-08-16
From 665 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 19 Sep
- Nacional vs Famalicao · FT 0–4
- Alverca vs Rio Ave · FT 1–0
- Sp Lisbon vs Arouca · FT 2–2