Eldense vs Eibar prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Eibar to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Eldense 24% at home, a draw 29% and Eibar 47%, so its call is 2: Eibar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 30% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.8 for Eldense and 1.2 for Eibar; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Eldense
Attack 19th of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Mallorca 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Leganes 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Cadiz 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at Almeria 2026-08-17
Eibar
Attack 12th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- W 4-0 at Celta B 2026-09-14
- W 3-0 v Granada 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Andorra 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-08-23
- L 1-3 v Tenerife 2026-08-16
From 980 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 19 Sep
- Sociedad B vs Mallorca · FT 0–1
- Andorra vs Sp Gijon · FT 1–3
- Castellon vs Tenerife · FT 5–0
- Cadiz vs Girona · FT 1–2