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Cadiz vs Girona prediction

Spain Segunda · Saturday 19 September 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeCadiz 1–2 GironaResult 2

Who wins?

CadizDrawGirona
Model 2 ✓
30%24%46%
Market 2 ✓
25%27%48%

Brit Predictor's model rates Girona to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Cadiz 30% at home, a draw 24% and Girona 46%, so its call is 2: Girona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 27% / 48%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cadiz and 1.6 for Girona; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Girona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
GoalsOver 2.5 · 53%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Cadiz

Attack 17th of 22, defence 18th of 22 in the league.

LLDDD
  • L 0-1 v Las Palmas 2026-09-12
  • L 2-3 at Almeria 2026-09-06
  • D 1-1 v Valladolid 2026-08-30
  • D 2-2 at Eldense 2026-08-22
  • D 0-0 v Celta B 2026-08-15

Girona

Attack 2nd of 22, defence 12th of 22 in the league.

LWWLD
  • L 1-2 v Castellon 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-05
  • W 5-2 v Las Palmas 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Cordoba 2026-08-21
  • D 1-1 v Leganes 2026-08-16

From 980 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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