Castellon vs Tenerife prediction
Spain Segunda · Saturday 19 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Castellon to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Castellon 55% at home, a draw 24% and Tenerife 20%, so its call is 1: Castellon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 21% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Castellon and 0.9 for Tenerife; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Castellon
Attack 3rd of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Girona 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Celta B 2026-08-31
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-08-14
Tenerife
Attack 18th of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Leganes 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Sociedad B 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 v Sp Gijon 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-23
- W 3-1 at Eibar 2026-08-16
From 980 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sat 19 Sep
- Sociedad B vs Mallorca · FT 0–1
- Andorra vs Sp Gijon · FT 1–3
- Eldense vs Eibar · FT 1–2
- Cadiz vs Girona · FT 1–2