Worthing vs Hornchurch prediction
England National League · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Worthing to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Worthing 45% at home, a draw 23% and Hornchurch 32%, so its call is 1: Worthing to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 31%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Worthing and 1.5 for Hornchurch; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 65%. Careful: there is little recent data on Worthing, Hornchurch, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Worthing
Attack 7th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Fylde 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 v Boreham Wood 2026-08-31
- L 2-3 at Tamworth 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Wealdstone 2026-08-22
Hornchurch
Attack 17th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Halifax 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Forest Green 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 at Boston Utd 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 v Woking 2026-08-28
- L 1-4 at Carlisle 2026-08-22
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 15 Sep
- Sutton vs Eastleigh · FT 2–1
- Wealdstone vs Halifax · FT 0–1
- Southend vs Tamworth · FT 3–1
- Aldershot vs Yeovil · FT 1–1
- Harrogate vs Fylde · FT 1–2
- Carlisle vs Forest Green · FT 1–1
- Boston Utd vs Woking · FT 1–1
- Solihull vs Barrow · FT 1–0