Harrogate vs Fylde prediction
England National League · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Harrogate 61% at home, a draw 19% and Fylde 20%, so its call is 1: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 24% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.4 for Harrogate and 1.3 for Fylde; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, Fylde, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Harrogate
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-31
- L 1-3 at Aldershot 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-08-22
Fylde
Attack 10th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 at Yeovil 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 v Worthing 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 at Solihull 2026-08-31
- W 2-0 v Forest Green 2026-08-28
- L 2-3 at Woking 2026-08-22
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Tue 15 Sep
- Sutton vs Eastleigh · FT 2–1
- Worthing vs Hornchurch · FT 1–0
- Wealdstone vs Halifax · FT 0–1
- Southend vs Tamworth · FT 3–1
- Aldershot vs Yeovil · FT 1–1
- Carlisle vs Forest Green · FT 1–1
- Boston Utd vs Woking · FT 1–1
- Solihull vs Barrow · FT 1–0