Brit Predictor
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Southend vs Tamworth prediction

England National League · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeSouthend 3–1 TamworthResult 1

Who wins?

SouthendDrawTamworth
Model 1 ✓
63%20%17%
Market 1 ✓
63%20%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Southend to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Southend 63% at home, a draw 20% and Tamworth 17%, so its call is 1: Southend to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 63% / 20% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.2 for Southend and 1.0 for Tamworth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 62%.

Expected goals2.2 – 1.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 62%
Both teams score58%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Southend

Attack 4th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.

DWDLW
  • D 2-2 at Carlisle 2026-09-12
  • W 3-2 v Yeovil 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Woking 2026-08-31
  • L 1-3 v Kidderminster 2026-08-28
  • W 3-1 at Solihull 2026-08-22

Tamworth

Attack 8th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

LDLWL
  • L 1-3 at Harrogate 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Boston Utd 2026-09-05
  • L 2-3 at Yeovil 2026-08-31
  • W 3-2 v Worthing 2026-08-28
  • L 1-4 at Halifax 2026-08-22

From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.

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