Sp Braga vs Estoril prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 14 September 2026, 21:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Braga to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Sp Braga 65% at home, a draw 19% and Estoril 16%, so its call is 1: Sp Braga to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 19% / 11%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sp Braga and 1.0 for Estoril; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Braga
Attack 4th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Estrela 2026-09-10
- W 2-1 at Alverca 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Guimaraes 2026-08-31
- D 2-2 at Moreirense 2026-08-09
- D 2-2 v Estrela 2026-05-16
Estoril
Attack 5th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Arouca 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 at Benfica 2026-08-31
- L 0-2 v Rio Ave 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Nacional 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 v Famalicao 2026-08-07
From 662 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Mon 14 Sep
- Rio Ave vs Estrela · FT 3–3
- Moreirense vs Maritimo · FT 3–1