Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 14 September 2026, 21:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Moreirense to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Moreirense 43% at home, a draw 26% and Maritimo 31%, so its call is 1: Moreirense to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 30% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Moreirense and 1.2 for Maritimo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Maritimo, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Moreirense
Attack 15th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-4 v Benfica 2026-09-09
- L 1-2 at Porto 2026-09-04
- W 1-0 at Casa Pia 2026-08-30
- L 0-4 at Arouca 2026-08-16
- D 2-2 v Sp Braga 2026-08-09
Maritimo
Attack 13th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Benfica 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Arouca 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Famalicao 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-08
From 662 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Mon 14 Sep
- Rio Ave vs Estrela · FT 3–3
- Sp Braga vs Estoril · FT 1–0