PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PSV Eindhoven to win as the most likely result (84%). It gives PSV Eindhoven 84% at home, a draw 11% and Sparta Rotterdam 6%, so its call is 1: PSV Eindhoven to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 84% / 10% / 7%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.5 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.9 for Sparta Rotterdam; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 82%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
PSV Eindhoven
Attack 1st of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Ajax 2026-09-05
- W 6-1 at Utrecht 2026-08-30
- W 5-1 v Groningen 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Excelsior 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v For Sittard 2026-08-08
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 17th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Zwolle 2026-09-04
- L 1-2 at Excelsior 2026-08-29
- D 3-3 v Utrecht 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Telstar 2026-08-14
- L 0-1 v Feyenoord 2026-08-09
From 661 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 13 Sep
- Excelsior vs Utrecht · FT 1–2
- Heerenveen vs Telstar · FT 0–0
- Zwolle vs Feyenoord · FT 0–7