Excelsior vs Utrecht prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 13 September 2026, 12:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Excelsior to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Excelsior 41% at home, a draw 26% and Utrecht 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 25% / 32%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Excelsior and 1.4 for Utrecht; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Excelsior
Attack 10th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Nijmegen 2026-09-08
- W 3-0 at Willem II 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-15
- W 4-0 at Cambuur 2026-08-07
Utrecht
Attack 8th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-09-08
- L 1-6 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-30
- D 3-3 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-22
- L 1-4 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Groningen 2026-08-09
From 661 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 13 Sep
- Heerenveen vs Telstar · FT 0–0
- Zwolle vs Feyenoord · FT 0–7
- PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam · FT 4–1