Heerenveen vs Telstar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Heerenveen to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Heerenveen 48% at home, a draw 25% and Telstar 26%, so its call is 1: Heerenveen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 20% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Heerenveen and 1.3 for Telstar; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Heerenveen
Attack 9th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 2-3 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-09-06
- D 2-2 at Willem II 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 v Zwolle 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Twente 2026-08-09
Telstar
Attack 14th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Twente 2026-09-09
- D 2-2 v Cambuur 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 v Ajax 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-14
- W 2-1 at Nijmegen 2026-08-08
From 661 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 13 Sep
- Excelsior vs Utrecht · FT 1–2
- Zwolle vs Feyenoord · FT 0–7
- PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam · FT 4–1