Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Lisbon to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Famalicao 18% at home, a draw 23% and Sp Lisbon 59%, so its call is 2: Sp Lisbon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 22% / 63%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Famalicao and 1.7 for Sp Lisbon; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Famalicao
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Santa Clara 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Maritimo 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at Estoril 2026-08-07
Sp Lisbon
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Nacional 2026-09-05
- W 4-0 at Rio Ave 2026-08-28
- W 3-1 v Alverca 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Guimaraes 2026-08-14
- D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-08-08
From 659 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 13 Sep
- Arouca vs Santa Clara · FT 1–2
- Benfica vs Gil Vicente · FT 3–1