Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Arouca to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Arouca 37% at home, a draw 28% and Santa Clara 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 30% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Arouca and 1.1 for Santa Clara; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Arouca
Attack 6th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Estoril 2026-09-07
- W 2-1 v Maritimo 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Porto 2026-08-23
- W 4-0 v Moreirense 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 at Guimaraes 2026-08-08
Santa Clara
Attack 15th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Rio Ave 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 at Alverca 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 v Famalicao 2026-08-23
- W 1-0 at Academico Viseu 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v Nacional 2026-08-10
From 659 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 13 Sep
- Benfica vs Gil Vicente · FT 3–1
- Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon · FT 1–1