Benfica vs Gil Vicente prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (75%). It gives Benfica 75% at home, a draw 16% and Gil Vicente 9%, so its call is 1: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 88% / 9% / 4%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.3 for Benfica and 0.6 for Gil Vicente; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Benfica
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
- W 4-0 at Moreirense 2026-09-09
- W 3-0 at Maritimo 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Estoril 2026-08-31
- W 7-0 at Casa Pia 2026-08-17
- D 2-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-08-09
Gil Vicente
Attack 10th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Academico Viseu 2026-09-06
- D 0-0 at Famalicao 2026-08-30
- W 2-0 v Casa Pia 2026-08-24
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-08-09
- L 0-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-05-16
From 659 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 13 Sep
- Arouca vs Santa Clara · FT 1–2
- Famalicao vs Sp Lisbon · FT 1–1