Sutton vs Scunthorpe prediction
England National League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Scunthorpe to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Sutton 34% at home, a draw 24% and Scunthorpe 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 25% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sutton and 1.6 for Scunthorpe; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sutton
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Barrow 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 v Wealdstone 2026-08-31
- W 1-0 at Gateshead 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 v Hartlepool 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Altrincham 2026-08-15
Scunthorpe
Attack 5th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Harrogate 2026-09-05
- L 2-4 at Carlisle 2026-08-31
- W 3-1 v Solihull 2026-08-28
- L 2-3 at Eastleigh 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Southend 2026-08-15
From 1177 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Harrogate vs Tamworth · FT 3–1
- Worthing vs Barrow · FT 2–2
- Yeovil vs Fylde · FT 1–4
- Woking vs Altrincham · FT 5–1
- Solihull vs Aldershot · FT 1–2
- Forest Green vs Gateshead · FT 4–0
- Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood · FT 1–1
- Boston Utd vs Wealdstone · FT 1–3
- Halifax vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Carlisle vs Southend · FT 2–2