Carlisle vs Southend prediction
England National League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Carlisle 44% at home, a draw 25% and Southend 31%, so its call is 1: Carlisle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 25% / 32%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Carlisle and 1.3 for Southend; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Carlisle
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Boreham Wood 2026-09-05
- W 4-2 v Scunthorpe 2026-08-31
- D 1-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-28
- W 4-1 v Hornchurch 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-08-15
Southend
Attack 4th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Yeovil 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Woking 2026-08-31
- L 1-3 v Kidderminster 2026-08-28
- W 3-1 at Solihull 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Scunthorpe 2026-08-15
From 1177 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Harrogate vs Tamworth · FT 3–1
- Worthing vs Barrow · FT 2–2
- Yeovil vs Fylde · FT 1–4
- Woking vs Altrincham · FT 5–1
- Sutton vs Scunthorpe · FT 0–2
- Solihull vs Aldershot · FT 1–2
- Forest Green vs Gateshead · FT 4–0
- Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood · FT 1–1
- Boston Utd vs Wealdstone · FT 1–3
- Halifax vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0