Harrogate vs Tamworth prediction
England National League · Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Harrogate to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Harrogate 57% at home, a draw 20% and Tamworth 23%, so its call is 1: Harrogate to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 23% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Harrogate and 1.4 for Tamworth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Harrogate
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Scunthorpe 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-31
- L 1-3 at Aldershot 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-15
Tamworth
Attack 7th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Boston Utd 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Yeovil 2026-08-31
- W 3-2 v Worthing 2026-08-28
- L 1-4 at Halifax 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v Fylde 2026-08-15
From 1177 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 12 Sep
- Worthing vs Barrow · FT 2–2
- Yeovil vs Fylde · FT 1–4
- Woking vs Altrincham · FT 5–1
- Sutton vs Scunthorpe · FT 0–2
- Solihull vs Aldershot · FT 1–2
- Forest Green vs Gateshead · FT 4–0
- Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood · FT 1–1
- Boston Utd vs Wealdstone · FT 1–3
- Halifax vs Hornchurch · FT 3–0
- Carlisle vs Southend · FT 2–2