Sudtirol vs Modena prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Sudtirol 33% at home, a draw 32% and Modena 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 30% / 45%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sudtirol and 1.1 for Modena; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sudtirol
Attack 14th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Catanzaro 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Benevento 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Virtus Entella 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-05-08
- L 0-1 at Sampdoria 2026-05-01
Modena
Attack 7th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Avellino 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 at Cremonese 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 at Benevento 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Avellino 2026-05-08
- W 2-1 v Reggiana 2026-05-01
From 793 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 12 Sep
- Vicenza vs Juve Stabia · FT 1–1
- Padova vs Ascoli · FT 1–0
- Catanzaro vs Carrarese · FT 1–0
- Cesena vs Cremonese · FT 2–2