Cesena vs Cremonese prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cesena to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Cesena 38% at home, a draw 28% and Cremonese 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 29% / 41%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cesena and 1.3 for Cremonese; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cremonese, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cesena
Attack 8th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Mantova 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Sampdoria 2026-08-23
- L 3-4 v Padova 2026-05-08
- D 0-0 at Carrarese 2026-05-01
Cremonese
Attack 4th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Padova 2026-09-06
- L 0-3 v Modena 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2025-05-13
- W 3-2 at Spezia 2025-05-09
From 793 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 12 Sep
- Vicenza vs Juve Stabia · FT 1–1
- Sudtirol vs Modena · FT 1–1
- Padova vs Ascoli · FT 1–0
- Catanzaro vs Carrarese · FT 1–0