Paris FC vs Lyon prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Paris FC to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Paris FC 37% at home, a draw 26% and Lyon 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Paris FC and 1.4 for Lyon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Paris FC
Attack 9th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Marseille 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Nice 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 at Troyes 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Paris SG 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Rennes 2026-05-10
Lyon
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Auxerre 2026-09-04
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Toulouse 2026-08-22
- L 0-4 v Lens 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Toulouse 2026-05-10
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 12 Sep
- Strasbourg vs Monaco · FT 1–1
- Auxerre vs Nice · FT 1–0
- Le Havre vs Angers · FT 0–0
- Lorient vs Toulouse · FT 2–2