Auxerre vs Nice prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Auxerre to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Auxerre 41% at home, a draw 27% and Nice 31%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Auxerre and 1.2 for Nice; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Auxerre
Attack 16th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Lyon 2026-09-04
- L 1-3 v Angers 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 at Lens 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Lille 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nice 2026-05-10
Nice
Attack 14th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Le Mans 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Paris FC 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Lorient 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 v Metz 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Auxerre 2026-05-10
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 12 Sep
- Strasbourg vs Monaco · FT 1–1
- Le Havre vs Angers · FT 0–0
- Lorient vs Toulouse · FT 2–2
- Paris FC vs Lyon · FT 0–0