Lazio vs Milan prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Lazio 31% at home, a draw 29% and Milan 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 29% / 46%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lazio and 1.2 for Milan; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Lazio
Attack 11th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2026-09-07
- W 1-0 v Genoa 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Bologna 2026-08-24
- W 2-1 v Pisa 2026-05-23
- L 0-2 at Roma 2026-05-17
Milan
Attack 7th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Juventus 2026-09-06
- W 2-0 v Venezia 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 at Torino 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 at Genoa 2026-05-17
From 791 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 12 Sep
- Genoa vs Frosinone · FT 1–1
- Atalanta vs Cagliari · FT 1–2