Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction
Italy Serie A · Saturday 12 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Atalanta 60% at home, a draw 24% and Cagliari 16%, so its call is 1: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 24% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atalanta and 0.8 for Cagliari; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Atalanta
Attack 4th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Roma 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-05-22
- L 0-1 v Bologna 2026-05-17
Cagliari
Attack 15th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Lecce 2026-09-07
- L 0-1 v Inter 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Parma 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Milan 2026-05-24
- W 2-1 v Torino 2026-05-17
From 791 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sat 12 Sep
- Genoa vs Frosinone · FT 1–1
- Lazio vs Milan · FT 2–2