Ath Bilbao vs Elche prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ath Bilbao to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Ath Bilbao 56% at home, a draw 23% and Elche 21%, so its call is 1: Ath Bilbao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 70% / 18% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ath Bilbao and 1.0 for Elche; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ath Bilbao
Attack 12th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Ath Madrid 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 at Celta 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Barcelona 2026-08-27
- L 1-3 v Sevilla 2026-08-22
- L 2-4 at Real Madrid 2026-05-23
Elche
Attack 10th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Sociedad 2026-09-07
- L 2-3 at Santander 2026-08-28
- L 0-5 v Barcelona 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at La Coruna 2026-08-17
- D 1-1 at Girona 2026-05-23
From 802 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 12 Sep
- Santander vs Alaves · FT 2–1
- Osasuna vs Espanol · FT 0–2
- Real Madrid vs Vallecano · FT 4–1