Parma vs Monza prediction
Italy Serie A · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Parma to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Parma 45% at home, a draw 29% and Monza 27%, so its call is 1: Parma to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 33% / 34%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Parma and 0.9 for Monza; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Parma
Attack 19th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Cagliari 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Sassuolo 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 at Como 2026-05-17
- L 2-3 v Roma 2026-05-10
Monza
Attack 17th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Udinese 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Inter 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Milan 2025-05-24
- L 1-3 v Empoli 2025-05-18
- W 2-1 at Udinese 2025-05-11
From 784 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Sun 6 Sep
- Frosinone vs Venezia · FT 3–2
- Bologna vs Sassuolo · FT 2–2
- Juventus vs Milan · FT 1–1