Brit Predictor

Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction

Italy Serie A · Sunday 6 September 2026, 18:00 WAT

Full timeBologna 2–2 SassuoloResult X

Who wins?

BolognaDrawSassuolo
Model 1 ✗
44%26%31%
Market 1 ✗
50%26%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Bologna to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Bologna 44% at home, a draw 26% and Sassuolo 31%, so its call is 1: Bologna to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Bologna and 1.2 for Sassuolo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Bologna

Attack 8th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.

LLDWW
  • L 0-1 at Atalanta 2026-08-31
  • L 0-1 v Lazio 2026-08-24
  • D 3-3 v Inter 2026-05-23
  • W 1-0 at Atalanta 2026-05-17
  • W 3-2 at Napoli 2026-05-11

Sassuolo

Attack 9th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.

WLLLL
  • W 2-1 v Torino 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Atalanta 2026-08-23
  • L 0-1 at Parma 2026-05-24
  • L 2-3 v Lecce 2026-05-17
  • L 1-2 at Torino 2026-05-08

From 784 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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