Brit Predictor

Frosinone vs Venezia prediction

Italy Serie A · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeFrosinone 3–2 VeneziaResult 1

Who wins?

FrosinoneDrawVenezia
Model 1 ✓
51%28%21%
Market 12 ✓
40%26%34%

Brit Predictor's model rates Frosinone to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Frosinone 51% at home, a draw 28% and Venezia 21%, so its call is 1: Frosinone to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 26% / 34%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Frosinone and 0.8 for Venezia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, Venezia, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 64%
Both teams score40%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Frosinone

Attack 14th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.

WL
  • W 3-0 at Fiorentina 2026-08-29
  • L 0-1 v Juventus 2026-08-23

Venezia

Attack 18th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.

LLLLW
  • L 0-2 at Milan 2026-08-28
  • L 0-2 v Lecce 2026-08-23
  • L 2-3 v Juventus 2025-05-25
  • L 0-3 at Cagliari 2025-05-18
  • W 2-1 v Fiorentina 2025-05-12

From 784 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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