Modena vs Avellino prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Modena 55% at home, a draw 27% and Avellino 18%, so its call is 1: Modena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 25% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Modena and 0.8 for Avellino; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Modena
Attack 5th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 at Cremonese 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 at Benevento 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Avellino 2026-05-08
- W 2-1 v Reggiana 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Monza 2026-04-24
Avellino
Attack 10th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Vicenza 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Arezzo 2026-08-22
- W 1-0 v Modena 2026-05-08
- L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-05-01
- W 2-0 v Bari 2026-04-24
From 783 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 6 Sep
- Cesena vs Mantova · FT 1–1
- Juve Stabia vs Pisa · FT 0–3
- Virtus Entella vs Vicenza · FT 2–2
- Verona vs Arezzo · FT 5–0
- Cremonese vs Padova · FT 3–1