Cesena vs Mantova prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cesena to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Cesena 44% at home, a draw 27% and Mantova 29%, so its call is 1: Cesena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cesena and 1.2 for Mantova; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cesena
Attack 8th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Sampdoria 2026-08-23
- L 3-4 v Padova 2026-05-08
- D 0-0 at Carrarese 2026-05-01
- D 0-0 v Sampdoria 2026-04-25
Mantova
Attack 6th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Empoli 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 at Carrarese 2026-08-22
- L 0-5 at Frosinone 2026-05-08
- W 3-2 v Monza 2026-05-01
- W 3-0 at Sudtirol 2026-04-25
From 783 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 6 Sep
- Juve Stabia vs Pisa · FT 0–3
- Modena vs Avellino · FT 0–1
- Virtus Entella vs Vicenza · FT 2–2
- Verona vs Arezzo · FT 5–0
- Cremonese vs Padova · FT 3–1