Cremonese vs Padova prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 6 September 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cremonese to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Cremonese 47% at home, a draw 30% and Padova 23%, so its call is 1: Cremonese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 28% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Cremonese and 0.9 for Padova; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cremonese, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Cremonese
Attack 4th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-3 v Modena 2026-08-28
- L 0-1 at Empoli 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2025-05-13
- W 3-2 at Spezia 2025-05-09
- D 1-1 v Sassuolo 2025-05-04
Padova
Attack 16th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Verona 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Pisa 2026-08-23
- W 4-3 at Cesena 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Pescara 2026-05-01
- L 0-1 at Virtus Entella 2026-04-25
From 783 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 6 Sep
- Cesena vs Mantova · FT 1–1
- Juve Stabia vs Pisa · FT 0–3
- Modena vs Avellino · FT 0–1
- Virtus Entella vs Vicenza · FT 2–2
- Verona vs Arezzo · FT 5–0