Villarreal vs La Coruna prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Villarreal to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives Villarreal 66% at home, a draw 18% and La Coruna 15%, so its call is 1: Villarreal to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 19% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for Villarreal and 1.0 for La Coruna; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on La Coruna, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Villarreal
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Alaves 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 at Ath Madrid 2026-08-23
- D 2-2 at Santander 2026-08-16
- W 5-1 v Ath Madrid 2026-05-24
- L 0-2 at Vallecano 2026-05-17
La Coruna
Attack 12th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Valencia 2026-08-30
- D 1-1 at Malaga 2026-08-24
- D 1-1 v Elche 2026-08-17
From 792 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Ath Bilbao vs Ath Madrid · FT 3–0
- Vallecano vs Santander · FT 3–2