Brit Predictor

Sudtirol vs Catanzaro prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeSudtirol 2–0 CatanzaroResult 1

Who wins?

SudtirolDrawCatanzaro
Model 12 ✓
35%28%37%
Market 12 ✓
40%30%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Catanzaro to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Sudtirol 35% at home, a draw 28% and Catanzaro 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 30% / 31%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sudtirol and 1.4 for Catanzaro; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score59%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Sudtirol

Attack 14th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.

DWDLL
  • D 1-1 at Benevento 2026-08-30
  • W 1-0 v Virtus Entella 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-05-08
  • L 0-1 at Sampdoria 2026-05-01
  • L 0-3 v Mantova 2026-04-25

Catanzaro

Attack 1st of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.

LLLLW
  • L 1-2 at Pisa 2026-08-30
  • L 2-3 at Vicenza 2026-08-21
  • L 2-3 v Bari 2026-05-08
  • L 2-3 at Palermo 2026-05-01
  • W 4-2 v Spezia 2026-04-25

From 780 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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