Carrarese vs Empoli prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 5 September 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carrarese to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Carrarese 43% at home, a draw 29% and Empoli 28%, so its call is 1: Carrarese to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 29% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Carrarese and 1.1 for Empoli; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Carrarese
Attack 10th of 20, defence 10th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Ascoli 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Mantova 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Virtus Entella 2026-05-08
- D 0-0 v Cesena 2026-05-01
- L 0-3 at Frosinone 2026-04-25
Empoli
Attack 7th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Mantova 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Cremonese 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Monza 2026-05-08
- W 1-0 v Avellino 2026-05-01
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-04-25
From 780 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 5 Sep
- Sudtirol vs Catanzaro · FT 2–0
- Ascoli vs Benevento · FT 1–0