Scunthorpe vs Harrogate prediction
England National League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Scunthorpe to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Scunthorpe 47% at home, a draw 22% and Harrogate 31%, so its call is 1: Scunthorpe to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 26% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Scunthorpe and 1.6 for Harrogate; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Scunthorpe
Attack 4th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-4 at Carlisle 2026-08-31
- W 3-1 v Solihull 2026-08-28
- L 2-3 at Eastleigh 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Southend 2026-08-15
- D 1-1 v Yeovil 2026-08-08
Harrogate
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Gateshead 2026-08-31
- L 1-3 at Aldershot 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 v Barrow 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-15
- W 5-2 v Solihull 2026-08-08
From 1165 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Aldershot vs Halifax · FT 1–0
- Southend vs Yeovil · FT 3–2
- Wealdstone vs Kidderminster · FT 1–4
- Tamworth vs Boston Utd · FT 2–2
- Hornchurch vs Forest Green · FT 0–1
- Hartlepool vs Woking · FT 1–0
- Gateshead vs Solihull · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Worthing · FT 2–2
- Barrow vs Sutton · FT 3–0
- Boreham Wood vs Carlisle · FT 2–1