Fylde vs Worthing prediction
England National League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Fylde to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Fylde 41% at home, a draw 23% and Worthing 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 22% / 23%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Fylde and 1.6 for Worthing; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on Fylde, Worthing, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Fylde
Attack 14th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Solihull 2026-08-31
- W 2-0 v Forest Green 2026-08-28
- L 2-3 at Woking 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Tamworth 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v Wealdstone 2026-08-08
Worthing
Attack 9th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Boreham Wood 2026-08-31
- L 2-3 at Tamworth 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Wealdstone 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v Forest Green 2026-08-15
- W 3-2 at Carlisle 2026-08-08
From 1165 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Aldershot vs Halifax · FT 1–0
- Southend vs Yeovil · FT 3–2
- Scunthorpe vs Harrogate · FT 0–2
- Wealdstone vs Kidderminster · FT 1–4
- Tamworth vs Boston Utd · FT 2–2
- Hornchurch vs Forest Green · FT 0–1
- Hartlepool vs Woking · FT 1–0
- Gateshead vs Solihull · FT 1–1
- Barrow vs Sutton · FT 3–0
- Boreham Wood vs Carlisle · FT 2–1