Boreham Wood vs Carlisle prediction
England National League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Boreham Wood to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Boreham Wood 46% at home, a draw 22% and Carlisle 32%, so its call is 1: Boreham Wood to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 21% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Boreham Wood and 1.6 for Carlisle; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 69%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Boreham Wood
Attack 1st of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Worthing 2026-08-31
- W 2-1 v Boston Utd 2026-08-27
- W 3-0 at Forest Green 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Halifax 2026-08-15
- D 3-3 v Tamworth 2026-08-08
Carlisle
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- W 4-2 v Scunthorpe 2026-08-31
- D 1-1 at Wealdstone 2026-08-28
- W 4-1 v Hornchurch 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Yeovil 2026-08-15
- L 2-3 v Worthing 2026-08-08
From 1165 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Aldershot vs Halifax · FT 1–0
- Southend vs Yeovil · FT 3–2
- Scunthorpe vs Harrogate · FT 0–2
- Wealdstone vs Kidderminster · FT 1–4
- Tamworth vs Boston Utd · FT 2–2
- Hornchurch vs Forest Green · FT 0–1
- Hartlepool vs Woking · FT 1–0
- Gateshead vs Solihull · FT 1–1
- Fylde vs Worthing · FT 2–2
- Barrow vs Sutton · FT 3–0