Brit Predictor

Partick vs Ayr prediction

Scotland Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timePartick 1–0 AyrResult 1

Who wins?

PartickDrawAyr
Model 1 ✓
51%30%18%
Market 1 ✓
64%21%15%

Brit Predictor's model rates Partick to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Partick 51% at home, a draw 30% and Ayr 18%, so its call is 1: Partick to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 21% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Partick and 0.8 for Ayr; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score46%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Partick

Attack 2nd of 10, defence 2nd of 10 in the league.

DDWWD
  • D 0-0 v Queens Park 2026-08-29
  • D 1-1 at Inverness C 2026-08-21
  • W 2-0 v Livingston 2026-08-07
  • W 1-0 at Morton 2026-08-01
  • D 1-1 v Queens Park 2026-05-01

Ayr

Attack 5th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.

DLDWL
  • D 1-1 v Morton 2026-08-29
  • L 0-2 at Raith Rvs 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-08
  • W 2-0 v Arbroath 2026-08-01
  • L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-05-01

From 381 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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