Inverness C vs Raith Rvs prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Raith Rvs to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Inverness C 30% at home, a draw 33% and Raith Rvs 36%, so its call is X2: Raith Rvs to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 28% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Inverness C and 1.2 for Raith Rvs; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on Inverness C, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Inverness C
Attack 9th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Stenhousemuir 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Partick 2026-08-21
- D 0-0 at Arbroath 2026-08-08
- D 0-0 v Dunfermline 2026-08-01
Raith Rvs
Attack 3rd of 10, defence 6th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Dunfermline 2026-08-28
- W 2-0 v Ayr 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 at Queens Park 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 v Stenhousemuir 2026-08-01
- W 3-2 v Ross County 2026-05-01
From 381 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 5 Sep
- Partick vs Ayr · FT 1–0
- Queens Park vs Morton · FT 2–1
- Arbroath vs Dunfermline · FT 1–1