Estrela vs Famalicao prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Famalicao to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Estrela 27% at home, a draw 28% and Famalicao 46%, so its call is 2: Famalicao to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 29% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.9 for Estrela and 1.3 for Famalicao; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Estrela
Attack 12th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Nacional 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 at Alverca 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v Sp Lisbon 2026-08-08
- D 2-2 at Sp Braga 2026-05-16
- D 0-0 v Famalicao 2026-05-11
Famalicao
Attack 9th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 at Santa Clara 2026-08-23
- L 1-2 v Maritimo 2026-08-16
- D 1-1 at Estoril 2026-08-07
- W 1-0 v Alverca 2026-05-16
From 646 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 5 Sep
- Maritimo vs Benfica · FT 0–3
- Alverca vs Sp Braga · FT 1–2
- Sp Lisbon vs Nacional · FT 2–0