QPR vs Cardiff prediction
England Championship · Wednesday 2 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates QPR to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives QPR 50% at home, a draw 25% and Cardiff 24%, so its call is 1: QPR to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 24% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for QPR and 1.2 for Cardiff; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
QPR
Attack 10th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Blackburn 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Bolton 2026-08-22
- W 3-1 at Portsmouth 2026-08-15
- L 0-3 at Ipswich 2026-05-02
- L 2-3 v Derby 2026-04-25
Cardiff
Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Sheffield United 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Derby 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Wrexham 2026-08-17
- L 2-4 at Norwich 2025-05-03
- D 0-0 v West Brom 2025-04-26
From 1148 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Wed 2 Sep
- Millwall vs Wrexham · FT 0–3
- West Brom vs Charlton · FT 1–1
- Burnley vs Middlesbrough · FT 1–1