Millwall vs Wrexham prediction
England Championship · Wednesday 2 September 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Millwall to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Millwall 50% at home, a draw 26% and Wrexham 24%, so its call is 1: Millwall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 29% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Millwall and 1.1 for Wrexham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 9th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-5 at Southampton 2026-08-29
- W 3-0 v Norwich 2026-08-22
- W 2-0 at Bristol City 2026-08-15
- W 2-0 v Oxford 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 at Leicester 2026-04-24
Wrexham
Attack 5th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Watford 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-08-17
- D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Coventry 2026-04-26
From 1148 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Wed 2 Sep
- QPR vs Cardiff · FT 2–1
- West Brom vs Charlton · FT 1–1
- Burnley vs Middlesbrough · FT 1–1