Willem II vs Heerenveen prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 30 August 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Heerenveen to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Willem II 29% at home, a draw 27% and Heerenveen 43%, so its call is 2: Heerenveen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 23% / 22% / 55%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Willem II and 1.5 for Heerenveen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%. Careful: there is little recent data on Willem II, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Willem II
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-4 v Nijmegen 2026-08-15
- L 1-4 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-08
- D 1-1 at NAC Breda 2025-05-18
- L 1-2 v Zwolle 2025-05-14
- L 1-2 v Heracles 2025-05-09
Heerenveen
Attack 10th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Zwolle 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-08-16
- W 1-0 v Twente 2026-08-09
- D 0-0 v Ajax 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 at NAC Breda 2026-05-10
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 30 Aug
- Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven · FT 1–6
- Feyenoord vs Den Haag · FT 2–2
- Telstar vs Ajax · FT 0–4
- Cambuur vs Twente · FT 1–4