Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 30 August 2026, 12:15 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates PSV Eindhoven to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Utrecht 27% at home, a draw 21% and PSV Eindhoven 52%, so its call is 2: PSV Eindhoven to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 15% / 17% / 67%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Utrecht and 2.3 for PSV Eindhoven; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 75%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Utrecht
Attack 8th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-22
- L 1-4 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Groningen 2026-08-09
- W 2-0 v For Sittard 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 at Ajax 2026-05-10
PSV Eindhoven
Attack 1st of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Groningen 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 at Excelsior 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 v For Sittard 2026-08-08
- W 5-1 v Twente 2026-05-17
- W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-05-10
From 640 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 30 Aug
- Feyenoord vs Den Haag · FT 2–2
- Willem II vs Heerenveen · FT 2–2
- Telstar vs Ajax · FT 0–4
- Cambuur vs Twente · FT 1–4