Brit Predictor

Cambuur vs Twente prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 30 August 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeCambuur 1–4 TwenteResult 2

Who wins?

CambuurDrawTwente
Model 2 ✓
17%21%63%
Market 2 ✓
10%14%76%

Brit Predictor's model rates Twente to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Cambuur 17% at home, a draw 21% and Twente 63%, so its call is 2: Twente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 10% / 14% / 76%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cambuur and 2.3 for Twente; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 67%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambuur, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 2.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 67%
Both teams score62%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Cambuur

Attack 15th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.

LLL
  • L 2-5 v Feyenoord 2026-08-23
  • L 1-3 at For Sittard 2026-08-15
  • L 0-4 v Excelsior 2026-08-07

Twente

Attack 7th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.

WLLWD
  • W 3-1 v Zwolle 2026-08-16
  • L 0-1 at Heerenveen 2026-08-09
  • L 1-5 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-17
  • W 4-0 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-10
  • D 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-05-03

From 640 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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