Brit Predictor

Mantova vs Empoli prediction

Italy Serie B · Sunday 30 August 2026, 19:00 WAT

Full timeMantova 3–1 EmpoliResult 1

Who wins?

MantovaDrawEmpoli
Model 1 ✓
42%28%29%
Market 1 ✓
50%27%23%

Brit Predictor's model rates Mantova to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Mantova 42% at home, a draw 28% and Empoli 29%, so its call is 1: Mantova to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 27% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mantova and 1.2 for Empoli; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
GoalsOver 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Mantova

Attack 6th of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.

WLWWL
  • W 2-1 at Carrarese 2026-08-22
  • L 0-5 at Frosinone 2026-05-08
  • W 3-2 v Monza 2026-05-01
  • W 3-0 at Sudtirol 2026-04-25
  • L 0-2 v Avellino 2026-04-18

Empoli

Attack 7th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.

WDWLD
  • W 1-0 v Cremonese 2026-08-22
  • D 2-2 at Monza 2026-05-08
  • W 1-0 v Avellino 2026-05-01
  • L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-04-25
  • D 1-1 v Virtus Entella 2026-04-19

From 776 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sun 30 Aug

More Italy Serie B games on Sun 30 Aug